A prediction corrected « Jim's Blog (2022)

A prediction corrected « Jim's Blog (1)Kunning Druegger says:

2022-07-26 at 04:39

If you have something worth defending, you need to build a mental model of what is required for you to leave your land as rarely as possible. The old SAS Survival Guide (no excuses, just buy it) has a nice mental exercise for ordering your priorities: 3 minutes without air, 3 days without water, 3 weeks without food. SAS are pretty fucking baller, so obviously quite extreme, but it gives good benchmarks. Here’s the filter I went with: https://www.sawyer.com/product-categories/water-filtration#0 (2 minis for the adults and a backup).

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I am a shill for body armor, and not at all an elitist, so Level III+ steel or higher is fine by me. GWoTfags will never, ever admit that steel plates with a buildup coat and a trauma pad is good enough, and if you are rich, you can get the better, lighter stuff. I recommend you get 2 types of plate carrier: a low profile one ( https://condoroutdoor.com/products/condor-specter-plate-carrier and there are even cheaper Chinese knockoffs) and a tacticool one ( https://www.ar500armor.com/plate-carriers.html ; these guys do all the things, like all the attachments and gack you need to attach to your PC; they are shunned by GWoTfags, and I could not care less, as they are something like 1/10th the price of Crye Precision). The lowpro one is what you keep in your trunk, the tacticool one is what you keep in your closet. Here’s why you go tacticool: 1) it will mark you as a larperator, which means you’re the butt of jokes now but will be welcomed down the road as an ally or utility by the real operators 2) wear it while you train, just do it, because even if you are in good shape, doing your normal workout with a loaded PC will learn you a thing or three about endurance 3) menacing gear can win a fight before it starts. obviously, if we’re talking about actual gunfights, get low and get home if you are not training regularly. but if you are rolling to the grocery store or whatever and unrest is spreading, you will not appear as an easy target, which should be priority one 4) having good gear on hand can be a store of value. you can trade it to guys or give it to any goons you might hire out as protection. this is obviously dicey for a lot of reasons, but never once were the words uttered “man I wish we had less useful gear available.”

Everyone is a chief major gunnery sergeant in the delta seal rangers on the internet, so there’s always derision for stated opinions or brand/build specificity. as well, if you don’t train and practice, in gear and at speed, you’re just holding the guns for the guy that does. so before you buy any iron, make a plan for practicing with it. this goes beyond range time. buy snapcaps/dummy rounds and dry fire practice in front of a mirror. not only does this make your dick bigger, it helps you understand your profile, why blading is important, where you are sticking out/hanging out, and where you should by positioning your utilities on your PC, belt, and legs. it’s really helpful, and it will get you on the road to muscle memory, which is more likely to save your ass than owning expensive gear. Guns are a tool like any other, so they have use cases, strengths & weaknesses, and quality levels. I recommend you have a pistol, AR, and shotgun, that you buy them in reverse order, and train on them in that reverse order. Pistols are not easy to master, ARs are deceptively challenging to use with gear on under pressure, and shotguns are the easiest and most useful if you’re starting from square 0. Shotguns are about as idiot proof of a weapon as you can get, and you can roll with slugs, buckshot, and birdshot all at once. The newer shotties built on the AR/AK platform are really cool, but a good pump shot gun is, on balance and in my opinion, your best bet as a beginner. This firearm configuration is your anti-personnel loadout, and you typically pick AR + pistol or shotgun + pistol, but it’s really up to you and the training you can ingest. On the other side of guntopia you have your utility weapons: pellet/bb gun, 22LR, shotgun, and bolt action. As cool as you may look fully kitted up, what really pulls pussy is access to animal protein. Bolt action configuration has significantly higher velocity than semi-autos of the same caliber because of some magical gas voodoo shit going on in the chamber. So you can hunt with an AR10 (7.62mm semi-auto in an AR platform), but you can hunt more effectively with a cheap Ruger American (7.62 ((and other calibers)) bolt action). If you have the cash, are patient, and have a clean record, definitely go for a suppressor. The benefits are massive in a lot of categories, and the downsides are, in my opinion, not that substantial. “Silencer” is some made up bullshit just like “assault style gun,” and suppressed firearms are still loud, but way less loud, and on a 22LR it’s downright quiet. This is of great utility for ear health and hiding purposes, as well you spook less game. This is why you want to have a BB/pellet gun; they are quiet and effective on small game. It also gives your son/wife something to hold while you carry the big boomstick. in terms of ammo, I use the metric of 1000 rounds per gun as a reserve, and I buy specifically for range time or training courses. This may sound like a lot, but it’s not. I did a training gig a while back where the company purchased ~50,000 rounds per year as a baseline, and flexed up when needed. This was not typical, but it was insane how quickly we went through stocks. A few guntubers have done videos where they shoot rounds from boxes purchased in the 1970s, so store it well and it will retain its value. Common calibers are the safest bet (.22LR, 9mm, 5.56mm, 7.62mm, 12ga) and usually cheaper, but there are some awesome options out there (10mm, 6.5 creedmore, .300BLK) with a lot of utility. I fyou can take the reloadspill, I’d say do it. I do not, but not for lack of desire. As you move into gun culture, you will find mountains of opinion and advice and cautions. just get the guns and practice, and learn from mistakes and make connections. don’t follow trends and guntube too closely (Paul Harrell, gunJesus, and garandthumb is probably sufficient), because you LGS will have better sources of info and advice. Just my opinion.

Training is massively important, and not just for tacticool stuff. There are a plethora of free and low cost training course on first aid, survival, woodcraft, and agrarian skills. There are legions of SMEs that love sharing their knowledge and, far more importantly, you will be connecting with master craftsmen as well as other normals and preppers and people feeling the same sense of worry and determination to confront it. Rural counties and exurbs tend to be a goldmine for training opportunities, but be very wary of anyone promising to turn you into a gunfighter or operator. Don’t just take “veteran operated” at face value. It is a tricky issue, but the best metric I have found for finding worthwhile trainers is how busy they are, and the condition of their gear and facilities. If the instructor is some fat ass that can’t go 5 minutes without telling you how badass he is, if the class consists of a bunch of foreigners trying to get security certified, if the classroom is poorly maintained and the gear is trashy and dirty, probably not the best place to go. That being said, there’s wisdom in strange places.

You should purchase a fully kitted out MFAK (multi first aid kit). AR500 does these, as well as dozens of other companies, but be wary of the tacticool ones, not because they aren’t useful, but because they are constructed primarily for bullet trauma. You’re going to want one that is more holistic in approach, with stuff for booboos and itches and sprains and stuff like that, and couple it with a trauma oriented IFAK (individual first aid kit – https://www.blueforcegear.com/trauma-kits.html) attached to it. You should then supplement it with whatever is unique to you. Never pass up an opportunity to get legally obtained prescription meds. The antibiotic crash is real and inevitable, but I’d rather have a bunch of them on hand. Consider too that a bunch med’d up bugmen will be fiending for adderal, MAOIs, and SSRIs, so there really isn’t a prescription medication that won’t be a store of value. This goes too for over the counter meds, though obviously to a lesser extent. If you can do some first aid/medical training, you can get bally great lists of stuff that medicos find important or essential. Just like with tactitools and gear, having medical supplies you can put in the hands of a specialist may be of great value to you at some unforeseen time, particularly if you have kids or elderly to safeguard.

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Jim spoke of chicken coops and vegetable gardens, and I second the motion, but don’t start buying and building without a plan. Find the homesteader community in your area, go to meetups, and start talking to people. My spread has been massively enhanced at fractional costs just by putting in face time with neighbors, trolling the depths of FB marketplace/craigslist, and helping neighbors with odd jobs. We’ve basically quadrupled our “infrastructure” and accelerated our 3 year plan this way. There is a commensurate downside, as I am way less prepared than I would have been if we stuck with the slow roll, but I prefer to have the stuff on site and built, so I will manage. Jim also used the term “snake proof” and this must be considered in depth, because the world of predators and scavengers is frustratingly huge. In addition to the obvious threats, there is also blight, caterpillars, beetles, asian jumping worms, heavy wind/rain, and weather in general. None of this is intended to discourage, but I have found that wanting, finding, and acquiring is far easier than I expected, and maintaining is impossible to do perfectly. Set your sights where you want, but if you can get to “good enough to get by,” you’re winning.

Livestock is tricky, particularly if you are not swimming in acreage, so the plan I put together is “microstock:” chickens, ducks, geese, rabbits, guinea pigs, bees, worms (vermiculture) and mushrooms. Obviously, I’d love to have steak, mutton, and goatsmilk, but it’s a lot easier to breed up and maintain herds of guinea pigs and rabbits than it is to do sheep, pigs, and cows. But it’s not easy, and it is an ongoing thing, so my plan might be bullshit. Every other -steader in my circle thinks I am insane with the guinea pigs, but I am sticking with it. i’ll report back when things develop.

If you’re good with tools and electronics, solar array + battery bank is fucking awesome, and you can do it much cheaper than buying everything in a finished state. As well, you can build a windmill pretty easily, and if you’re smart, you can get dribs and drabs of energy here and there, but again, not simple. i have taken collecting the pieces and mothballing them for later when i find them for cheap, whether they are barter fodder or actual deployed assets. I also buy batteries of various types as often as possible. Just like bullets, I’d rather have and not need than need and not have.

If you are super liquid and looking to go over the top, check out Armormax. There’s also interesting methods for hardening your residence with very lowpro and relatively cost effective options, but I haven’t gone down this road yet. having a good vehicle is great, but you have to consider both provisioning it and being able to store it safely. i’m not a gearhead, so…

(Video) Discussion with Jim Gates (September 16, 2021)

Rainwater collection is apparently tricky because some locales regulate it or outright ban it, but I don’t really care. Just collecting what’s running off your roof (assuming you’re in an area that isn’t a desert or tundra) will give you a LOT. I am still in the testing phase, and this year has been… intense, but I can easily get thousands of gallons of gray water no sweat. Storing it is the real challenge. My current approach is an elevated 1000 gallon catchment that uses gravity to get it where it needs to go, but the details are devilish. So my fall back is the cistern model, which means the gutters feed to a buried tank that has a spill valve and a handpump. i’ve got well water, so rain collection is a backup. Word of warning: modern wells are very narrow tubes drilled deep into the aquifers, which is super cool, but it means you’re SOL if the power goes out and the siphon stops (there’s artesian wells, but this is outside my capacity at the moment). Older wells, sometimes called bore wells, are less common but give you the option of tossing down a bucket on a rope (if that doesn’t make your back hurt just thinking about it…)

Which dovetails into the idea of dramatically lowering expectations. You can attempt to prep for “maintain my lifestyle in spite of the situation facing me” but it’s going to be challenging, expensive, and risky. Without a family army, or army of families, having a bunch of valuable shit on your spread is useless if you cant defend and maintain it. so consider what your actual minimums are: what are the bare necessities, what are the kcal minimums, what can be done without any power or machines or complex tools? this obviously sucks, but if we’re looking at moths of troubles followed by years of instability… I just don’t know how to prep for that.

Good luck faggot lmao gotem

J/k, but if you’re urban or suburban and you aren’t setting up to be a BAPian marauder (or join up with the local gang or “federal recovery initiative”), you need to plan on being a refugee. I break this down into 3 categories: the refugee, the IDP, and the migrant.

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The refugee
You are a man alone. You must flee your immediate surroundings with an urgency that negates any concern for next steps. This is the case for urban dwellers.

Always wear or have good shoes with you. Always have 3 liters of water. Always have a knife or multitool. always have 6 thousand kCals of food. this is on your person at all times. There’s obviously other stuff you can have (good backpack, good poncho, good hat/headgear, good mask, good sunglasses, good gloves, goof IFAK), but you’re best ticket to survival is to get low and get out. You cannot help anyone, you cannot save anyone, and you need to get to a position where friends and allies better prepared or placed than yourself can get to you. So you need to establish known rally points before hand. You need to communicate your plans to those that can help you. And you need to have and be familiar with the on-foot routes you can use. Obviously, speeding off into the hinterland on a motorcycle is based AF, but how likely is it that even a bike will be able to get through the Holland Tunnel? Bicycles are cool, but they’re better for using as a wheelbarrow/pack mule than as an escape method (just my opinion, and I’m sure others disagree). Get low, get isolated, and get out; everything else is irrelevant.

This is what happens when you get an inkling that something is coming a few hours, days, or weeks in advance. You need to have everything from the refugee plan, but you have a miniscule amount of breathing room to plan ahead. This is where having the bicycle may actually be useful. The trick here is to start moving and have a general target of where you’re trying to go. Again, you want to shy away from groups or crowds whenever possible. If you have a good backpack and you find a ultra-petite qt3.14 looking for a savior, maybe carry her along. But I recommend against hoe collection until you’ve exited the kinetic zone. besides, if you move quick enough, you can set up a nice little breeding nest and wait for the refugee swarm and have your pick of the litter. Jokes aside, this will require friends and destinations. There’s no point fleeing catastrophe if you don’t have some promised land to go to. How you go about this is on you, but it does bear consideration. Speed and comfort is the key here; you want to be ahead of the refugee swarm so you can capitalize on whatever good will is extant before the situation degrades into the Hobbesian State. You want to look competent and capable, not desperate and bedraggled. You want to be someone people are happy to help, not someone they feel compelled to mitigate. be polite, don’t argue, don’t threaten, and minimize wheedling and whining. keep your council close, particularly if you’re actual headed somewhere people are ready for what’s coming. No one, not a single fucking person, is going to appreciate that you took their individualized offer of sanctuary and extended it to a bunch of randos. If you show up with a team of capable and provisioned dudes ready to submit, obey, and assist, maybe… but this might have the reverse affect and your would-be benefactors now perceive you as a threat to their survival. You want to be value added, not liability incurred.

The Migrant
This is what happens if you have made plans months or years in advance, and are just waiting for the minimum amount of signals or red flags to initiate the Move. Obviously this is tricky, but it is also the absolute best case scenario for you and the people helping you. This means you can send money ahead, help the preppers prep, be an active participant in The Plan, and gain or retain status. You still want your footprint to be small, you don’t want to be a burden, but this way you can manage, more or less, the terms under which you leave your Old Place and make a New Place for yourself. In this situation, you can be an integral part of the Plan, maybe bringing things like food, ammo, supplies, and skills, or even fellow travelers. This is how you form a synthetic tribe.

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Holy shit, this is long. A final note: this is all straight out of my head through the lens of my experience and enhanced by things I’ve read and people I’ve encountered. I am not an expert, and I barely qualify as a specialist, if I qualify at all. I believe there is utility here, but I welcome all refutation, correction, and refinement. Don’t take my word as gospel, just take these things and make them work for you. In a perfect world I would add some coordinates and passphrases here. I in fact do have some plans and standing offers for people I care about that refuse to flee the urban jungle, but it is all predicated on this: I will do what I can, if I can, how I can, when I can, so long as you do a few things, but my priorities are my family, my land, and me, so it is incumbent upon you to position yourself in a way that allows me to help. I am extremely pessimistic about the chances I could do anything at all. Good luck out there guys. GNON is counting on you to take care of yourselves.



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